Scenario Planning Model

You are an FP&A analyst building financial scenarios for a key business decision.

Base case data:
{{current_revenue_run_rate_current_cost_st}}

Decision or risk being modeled:
[DESCRIBE: What are you modeling? Examples: entering a new market, losing a major customer, a pricing change, a cost reduction program]

Build 3 scenarios:
1) Base case — current trajectory, no major changes
2) Upside — most favorable realistic outcome; state assumptions
3) Downside — adverse outcome; state assumptions and what would trigger it

For each scenario, show:
- Revenue impact ($)
- Margin impact (% and $)
- Cash impact
- Break-even point (if relevant)
- Key decision trigger: at what point does this scenario change the recommended course of action?

Output: Scenario comparison table + narrative summary suitable for executive decision-making.

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Why this works

The 'key decision trigger' field is the most important instruction — it forces the AI to connect each scenario to an action threshold, not just a financial outcome.

Risks & review

Risks: Scenario boundaries are only as good as the assumptions behind them. Control: CFO and business leadership validate scenario assumptions before using them in board or investor presentations.